A shares: I have two questions about the market trend tomorrow (August 30), and I will discuss with you all

time:2022-09-29 14:28:56 source:clevelanddrifters.com author:Hot industry
A shares: I have two questions about the market trend tomorrow (August 30), and I will discuss with you all

Today's A shares are also strong, they were not defeated by the bad news, the fluctuation range increased, and they successfully held the 3200 point area. The importance of this position is very clear in my article yesterday. Location. Is the 3200 point of the A-share market safe and sound? Below, according to today's market trend and related data, analyze and predict the market trend tomorrow, and then discuss two issues with you. First, today's A-share closing and major capital trends. 1. The closing situation of the three major indexes: the broader market closed at 3240.73 points, an increase of 0.14%, with a turnover of 363.7 billion yuan, the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12018.2 points, a decrease of 0.34%, with a turnover of 482.1 billion yuan, and the ChiNext Index closed at 2630.51 points, Down 0.37%. A total of 845.8 billion yuan was traded between the two cities, a sharp drop of 83.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day's 929.2 billion yuan. 2. The trend of the main capital: Today, the main capital in the broader market has a net outflow of 3.5 billion yuan, the Shenzhen market has a net outflow of 10 billion yuan, and the two cities have a total net outflow of 13.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.7 billion yuan compared with 23.2 billion yuan in the previous trading day. The magnitude has slowed down. Second, the broader market will continue to fluctuate in a range tomorrow. This range is between 3200-3250 points. The probability of testing the strength of 3200 points is not high, but it does not mean that it is safe and sound. This is because: 1. No new funds entered the market. The trading volume of the broader market is still shrinking today, shrunk by nearly 9% compared with last Friday, which shows that the market trading is relatively light and lacks enthusiasm for following the trend. The trading of large orders and small and medium orders is not very active, and both long and short sides seem to be very active. More cautious, those who have the goods are unwilling to sell, those who hold the currency are unwilling to enter, and only maintain a range-bound trend. 2. No new leading sector appeared. The hot spots in the broader market today are still the faces that are too old: photovoltaics, wind power, coal, etc. Some people may say that this is related to fundamentals. What I have always emphasized to you is: stocks are stocks, and fundamentals are fundamentals , the blow can look at the rise of these stocks in recent years, which has already advanced the prospects of these industries. If there is no new leading sector, there will be no leader. It is difficult for the market to go up, and the probability of testing 3200 points down will be a little more. 3. The basic pattern has not changed. Today it seems to open low and go high, but the overall weak pattern has not changed. For example, relying on news speculation, hot money is too active, and hot spots are changing too quickly. I consulted a few friends around me. They are optimistic about the market, but one is very optimistic. The real problem: if you buy a stock, it will fall. If you see a stock that is going up well, as soon as you buy it, the stock price will fall flat. They don’t understand it. There are many reasons for this, but one thing is true: market transactions are not It's usually light, and the dealers themselves are facing each other, which is to attract people to take orders. If you go in, even if you fall in. Third, by analyzing the trend of the A-share market today, I have two questions to discuss with you. First, is the broader market currently building an arc top? There is an important criterion for judging whether to build an arc top: an effective breakdown of the 3150-3200 point range, which means that the broader market index will not oscillate in this range for too long. At present, the main players in the market are still holding on to 3200 points. The importance of 3200 points and 3250 points in the A-share market, and why they are important, I have made a specific analysis in yesterday's article and will not repeat them. Judging from today's trend, the prototype of the arc top has been formed at present, but the current index is still a certain distance from 3150 points, and the conclusion of the completion of the arc top construction cannot be made in the short term. Second, has the market hotspot changed? It starts with figuring out which direction the hotspot is transitioning. Judging from the trend of each A-share sector, especially in the past two months, the big hot spot is still the new lithium scenery sector. The rebound of other themed stocks is also considerable, but there are also large-capitalized and heavy-weight stocks represented by the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and so on. , the trend is relatively sluggish, the index fluctuated between 2700-2800 points for 17 trading days, and the pharmaceutical sector, the trend is basically the same as the Shanghai 50 index, which can be described as low hovering. But also be soberly aware that the current volume level is very restrictive to the strength of the Shanghai 50 Index, and it is predictable that they will rebound, but only rebound. The trend of the related pharmaceutical sector is worthy of everyone's attention in the short term. After all, the market value of these stocks is too large, and it is relatively easy to make a rebound or something. Another thing worth paying attention to is the CSI 1000 Index, which contains many stocks. It takes a lot of effort to select stocks. Why this index? Because the trend of this index is stronger than that of the A-share market, although it was hit by a guillotine on August 24, the overall upward trend has not been destroyed, and there is still room for a short-term rebound. After all, these mid-cap stocks do not have high requirements for the overall capital of A-shares. It is not difficult to do. The key is stock selection and technical operations. To sum up, today’s market trend appears to be resilient. The reasons for this trend have been thoroughly analyzed in yesterday’s article. As for tomorrow’s market, under the constraints of various conditions, it will still maintain a range-bound range. Trend, it is difficult to form a breakthrough, a dilemma. Two questions to discuss with you: whether to build an arc top, and whether the hotspot has shifted, you need a lot of participation, communication, discussion, and sharing. (This article is exclusively published by the author on Toutiao, and plagiarism must be investigated! Personal opinions are for reference only, not as an investment basis. The stock market is risky, and investment should be cautious!)

(Responsible editor:Aviation stock)

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