Just now, two major signals are highlighted, and the stock market is facing a change?-clevelanddrifters.com

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Just now, two major signals are highlighted, and the stock market is facing a change?

time：2023-03-24 01:02:50 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Individual stock recommendation

Just now, two major signals are highlighted, and the stock market is facing a change?

In the early trading, the stock market still experienced some differentiation, and the roles of differentiation were reversed. This is also the correction phenomenon that the author has been emphasizing before. However, in the early trading, the Shanghai Composite Index still appeared some peaks and falls. In the previous trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index had fallen to the vicinity of the 900-day moving average, and then started to stop falling and rebounded. In the early trading, the Shanghai Composite Index even gapped and rose, far away from the 900-day moving average. What does this mean? At least in the author's opinion, the support brought by this long-term strategic moving average is still very strong. So, in the short term, the sideways trend of the stock market is not expected to be broken. However, just now, two major signals were highlighted. So, does this mean that the stock market is facing a change? At the same time, what are these two signals? The first big signal, in fact, the three major A-share indexes are now in the sideways trading at the second high level. The so-called second high level is actually a position where the market has entered a sideways movement after a wave of rebound, which is the second high level. The only difference is that the current period of the second high is too long. The ChiNext rebounded for two months from April 27 to June 27, and then from June 27 to today's 8. On the 26th, it experienced another 2 months of sideways. The situation in the Shenzhen Component Index is similar. However, there are some differences in the fluctuation range up and down. The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext basically traded sideways along the half-year line before. The fluctuation range is not very large, but the trend shows a certain level. situation. The Shanghai Composite Index is more likely to run on and off the half-year line, breaking through the half-year line for a while, and falling below the half-year line for a while. The lower edge of the disk is the semi-annual line. Therefore, from this point of view, A shares are indeed easy to get out of the differentiation market. The second biggest signal, generally speaking, most of the purpose of sideways is to wash the market, that is, to make the originally scattered chips in the market start to gather together again, and at the same time, i also makes the cost of chips in the market start to concentrate. Therefore, sideways trading is actually a process of shuffling. After the shuffling is almost over, there will be obvious characteristics in the disk, that is, the turnover of the market will continue to shrink, the moving average will gradually become denser, and the amplitude will gradually become smaller. Judging from the situation of the Shanghai Composite Index, the annual line and the 900-day moving average are moving closer to the center point. At the same time, those moving averages within these two moving averages have also begun to stick together, indicating that the average cost of the market has begun to move closer together. . At least, the difference is not very big. However, because the deviation rate between the annual line and the 900-day moving average is still not small, in the short term, the author believes that the possibility of the stock market changing is not very large. The so-called change is at most sideways within the range Just the situation. On the other hand, the Shenzhen Component Index has stopped falling near the half-year line. At the same time, there is a 900-day moving average below. Therefore, the support of the Shenzhen Component Index is also strong, so the possibility of a downward change in the short term is basically not. will be great. Before the GEM fell to the half-year line, there had already been a certain undertaking, so the supporting force was also considered acceptable. Therefore, just now, the two major signals were highlighted, and they are actually sending a message that the stock market is unlikely to face changes in the short term, but it is more likely to continue to run in the sideways space, which is more critical. However, in the early trading, the overall atmosphere of the stock market was still good. Although the GEM went up and down, the number of stocks that rose on the GEM also reached about 600. Therefore, the bullish atmosphere was still not bad. Moreover, there is another very important factor. If the Shanghai Composite Index falls below the 900-day moving average recently, it will inevitably form a multi-level divergence. The Shenzhen Component Index and the GEM will also form an obvious bottom divergence if they fall below the half-year line. Also based on this point, the author believes that the stock market will not face changes in the short term, even if it falls below, then it is estimated that it is just a fake action. Under the influence of deviation and deviation rate, the market will eventually come out of the so-called repair. Quotes. Therefore, the risk of the stock market now lies in the risk of sideways fluctuations, rather than the risk of market changes.

(Responsible editor：Hot industry)

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