Today, the stock market is diving again, next week, will it be even worse?

time:2022-12-02 16:40:25 source:clevelanddrifters.com author:Garbage
Today, the stock market is diving again, next week, will it be even worse?

Although the stock market opened lower in early trading today, it is unlikely that there will be a big drop in early trading. However, it is surprising that in the midday trading, the stock market fell sharply, and the three major A-share indexes all fell by more than 2%. It can be said that It's an appalling situation. As of the close, it can be seen that the Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.3% throughout the day to close at 3126 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.3% throughout the day to close at 11261 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.34 points throughout the day. %, to close at 2367 points. From the perspective of the decline, in fact, the three major A-share indexes have similar declines today, which is also a relatively rare phenomenon. So, why did the stock market dive again today? Will it be even worse next week? And there are three reasons why the stock market plunged today. First, the securities sector crashed today, and the securities sector index fell by 4.95% throughout the day. In the early trading, there was already a wave of gaps in the market. Unexpectedly, it continued to fall during the session. The market sentiment has led to the bears. Originally, the securities sector index was a very important indicator for A shares, but now, the securities sector has directly closed a big negative line, which made the market unexpected. Therefore, today's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets collectively dived. Moreover, more importantly, the daily chart of the securities sector index shows that today's decline in the securities sector index occurred under the condition of dense moving averages. Then, why is the securities sector index so tragic today? The main reason is that the market has been over-interpreted, and a more important reason is that the securities sector was originally in a long sideways situation, and has never been able to break upwards. After a long time, the market will change. Therefore, the securities sector index will fall sharply today. In fact, not only the securities sector index, but also the banking sector has been brought down. The banking sector, which is the main force supporting the market, is very weak today, and it is in a volatile and declining market throughout the day. When the market closed, the banking sector index even fell by 2.23%, and it also closed a big negative line, which directly broke the support of multiple moving averages, walked out of a bear market, and indirectly produced a negative for A shares. influences. It is precisely because of the sharp drop in the financial sector that the three major A-share indexes will also suddenly dive today. Second, the Shanghai Composite Index was originally at the bottom of the sideways trading. In the early trading, it had not yet fallen below the bottom of the sideways trading. When it entered the midday trading, the support at the bottom of the sideways trading was gone, and the Shanghai Composite Index directly put the horizontal trading. The plate is broken. Moreover, for 2 consecutive trading days, the large negative line has been closed, which has formed a big blow to the market atmosphere. More importantly, the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen sharply yesterday, and it is still under the density of the moving average. Out of the Po-bit-style decline. At this stage, the moving average above the Shanghai Composite Index is very close, indicating that the chips above are very dense, and the index is below this dense area. Then, at present, most of the chips on the Shanghai Composite Index are in a situation of floating losses. It can be seen from the chip distribution chart that there is a peak of chips at the 3250 point of the Shanghai Composite Index, which means that this position will inevitably become a pressure level for the Shanghai Composite Index, and it is still a very stressed area. In this case, the Shanghai Composite Index will likely continue to be under pressure. Including the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index, it is basically the same situation. After yesterday's sharp fall, today is an extremely weak market. Therefore, the stock market will most likely stop falling in the short term. . Third, the net outflow of the main capital in a single day is as high as more than 40 billion, and the main capital in the three trading days has a total net outflow of about 140 billion. Under such a situation of continuous capital outflow, how can the stock market not come out of the bad market? ? So, based on the above three factors, the stock market has plunged again today, and will it be even worse next week? In fact, in the author's opinion, although the stock market this week is indeed very worrying, under such a sharp decline, it is still the market driven by the collapse of the securities sector, and most of them will usher in a wave of reversal of the market. of. However, it is only a reverse pumping market, and a reverse pumping is not a reversal, which needs to be paid attention to.

(Responsible editor:Aviation stock)

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