A shares: My views on the extreme trend of the broader market in the morning-clevelanddrifters.com

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A shares: My views on the extreme trend of the broader market in the morning

time：2023-03-24 02:04:00 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Garbage

A shares: My views on the extreme trend of the broader market in the morning

Today's A-shares opened sharply lower. As of the time of my writing, the broader market had fallen by 1.02%, with 1,798 stocks falling and 321 rising, with a net outflow of 6.9 billion yuan of main funds. The overall trend is dull and the transaction is light. Many people are looking for the reasons. Next, I will tell you my thoughts on the market this morning, the main reasons for the decline of the broader market, and the trend in the afternoon. First, there are two main reasons for the decline of the broader market today: First, the avalanche-style plunge of US stocks last night. Affected by the continuous record high inflation and concerns about the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate hike, the Dow Jones index fell 3.94%, and the Nasdaq fell 5.16%, triggering a decline in global stock markets. As a member of the global stock market, A-shares are of course unavoidable. Usually U.S. stocks fall sharply. In order to express their freshness and refinement, A-shares just open low to pay tribute. Today’s situation is somewhat different from the past. It can be seen from this that this The significance of the decline in US stocks is that the US stock Dow Jones has fallen below the 30-month line on which its long-term bull market is based, and there is still a possibility of a sharp decline. Some Vs keep their eyes open and close their eyes all day long and babble their tongues, saying that A-shares are the strongest stock market in the world, never saying that A-shares will fall, and saying that A-shares and U.S. stocks have been successfully cut, but we Seeing a U.S. policy yesterday caused a number of concept stocks including WuXi PharmaTech to tumble. Does this mean that the trend of US stocks has no impact on A shares? Second, the factors of A shares themselves. Regardless of the recent ups and downs of A-shares, no trading volume has been released. The ups and downs also shrink, and the declines also shrink. They are not dead or alive all day long. Obviously, the funds in the market are entertaining themselves, and they are pulling up. Why are they working so hard? bitter to do so? All are to avoid the impact of the Fed's interest rate hikes and high inflation in the United States on the global capital market. Various technical indicators of the A-share market are at high levels, such as KDJ, etc., and there will be a short-term decline to repair. Even if there is no impact from the outer market today, the A-share market will fall deeply. The gap left by the broader market on September 6 has a great traction on the broader market index, and it will be impossible in the short term. Second, I would like to say a few things about today's decline. First, there is no stock market that goes up every day. This is common sense in the stock market, and A-shares are no exception. According to some V’s advocacy, the A-share market has already reached its peak, why is it still hovering around 3,000 points, and why it has not risen. , which is determined by the characteristics of A shares themselves: financing. Second, we must correctly understand the relationship between U.S. stocks and A-shares. As A-shares, there are many aspects that are different from U.S. stocks. For example, U.S. stocks are a global open market, while A-shares are a relatively closed regional market, but there are various channels between the two. There are inextricably linked, for example, foreign capital is the most active main force of A-shares, and the new lithium scenery they lead is regarded as a standard by our domestic fund. After three years, our domestic fund is still playing with others. , These varieties currently dominate the trend of A shares. The Fed's rate hike has also caused some funds to return to the United States, which will have a greater impact on the stock market. The Hong Kong stock market is the closest to us. You can look at the trend of the Hang Seng Index. Since 2018, it has gone out of the 4-year decline. Because Hong Kong stocks use US dollars. Therefore, to correctly understand the impact of the US stock market trend on A shares, sometimes it is indirect, sometimes it is direct. Third, give your friends two reminders as appropriate. When doing stocks, you must always think that the market will fall sharply, and that there will be extreme trends such as long-term downturns. You must put risks first, and don’t be fascinated by the overwhelming shouting. Some people are marketing accounts. He has accumulated hundreds of thousands of fans, and he can’t survive if he doesn’t shout about rising. Some new analysts have to shout about rising every day in order to gain attention. This has created a great misunderstanding for our retail investors. A shares will not fall, and it will not hurt people. In the A-share market, I remind my fans and friends: Please use fundamentals carefully as the basis for stock speculation, please be cautious. Because only God knows how deep the water in A shares is. Fourth, no matter what K-line the A-shares close today, it can only be said to be the beginning of the A-shares’ self-adjustment. It doesn't make any sense. The transaction volume these days has made everything clear. There is no transaction volume, which means that the main shipment is not smooth, no one takes the order, and you play yourself. If you have to pay stamp duty. There are always times when you can’t play anymore. Today’s drop is the result of the superposition of A-shares’ own factors and external market factors. However, I personally feel that A-shares are a bit pretentious and the decline is not thorough enough. Since it is a half-step mimosa, it shows that the main force is coming out. The goods are not finished yet. After the adjustment will be tossing. To sum up, the time is limited. Through the closing time, I will give fans and friends a simple reminder. Don't think that if you drop a little and close a deep V, the adjustment will be over. You must do a good job of taking the big market to the next level. Prepare, keep watching more and less moving in operation, don't be impulsive, and pay attention to short-term risks. (Plagiarism must be investigated! Personal opinions are for reference only, not as investment basis. The stock market is risky, and investment should be cautious!)

(Responsible editor：Hot industry)

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