Today, the stock market fell, the situation is not very good, is the crisis coming?

time:2023-01-28 17:32:14 source:clevelanddrifters.com author:Market analysis
Today, the stock market fell, the situation is not very good, is the crisis coming?

In fact, today's drop in the stock market is not an accident, because the U.S. stock market basically collapsed last night, and it is still a big drop. Under this background, A shares will not go out of the so-called independent market. , so, the situation is not very good. Moreover, the Asia-Pacific stock market is basically bleak. However, in the author's opinion, the situation of A-shares is not bad. After all, the decline of A-shares today is not large. Compared with other Asia-Pacific stock indexes, A-shares can only be regarded as passive. Just following the downtrend. As of the close, it can be seen that the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.8% throughout the day to close at 3237 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.25% throughout the day to close at 11774 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.84% throughout the day. , to close at 2503 points. From the point of view of decline, the Shanghai Composite Index did not even drop by 1%. This occurred under the collective decline of the large financial sector. Therefore, the resilience of the Shanghai Composite Index is still relatively obvious today. Only the ChiNext Index fell more, but it did not break the 2% decline. Of course, today, the stock market fell, the situation is not very good, so, is the crisis coming? What will the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets do next? To tell the truth, in fact, the crisis is not so, there are three main points! First, because today's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have gapped down, so today, the three major A-share indices have formed so-called gaps. Generally speaking, most of the gaps will be filled but not filled. There are very few gaps. The gap of the Shanghai Composite Index is 3262 points today, while the gap of the Shenzhen Component Index is 11914 points, and the gap of the ChiNext is 2550 points. It can be said that today, there are obvious gaps in the consistency of the three major A-share indexes. Moreover, this gap appears on the daily chart, so it is more likely to be filled. Second, although the Shanghai Composite Index is indeed in a falling market today, the Shanghai Composite Index unexpectedly closed a positive line, and the volume and energy indicator of the Shanghai Composite Index is still red, and has not turned green. Moreover, even if the Shanghai Composite Index continues to fall, it will inevitably form a deviation at the daily level. According to the current situation, this kind of deviation is not expected to be weak. Therefore, this will also make the Shanghai Composite Index decline. relatively limited. In fact, today, the GEM has already deviated from the daily line, and the GEM has fallen below the previous low point today, but the volume and energy indicators have not continued to enlarge, which has led to entrepreneurship. The plate forms a divergence. Third, it can be seen that, among the three major A-share indices, apart from the Shenzhen Component Index, the ChiNext and the Shanghai Composite Index are not far from the next support point. The next support point for the ChiNext is 2447 points, a distance of GEM is now very close. The next support point of the Shanghai Composite Index is 3172 points, which is also very close to the current point of the Shanghai Composite Index. The situation of the Shenzhen Component Index is somewhat special, because the Shenzhen Component Index has already broken all the moving averages, and there is no Emergence of support points. However, in this way, the Shenzhen Component Index will form the so-called deviation rate. Therefore, based on the problem of the deviation rate, there will also be a wave of repairing market conditions in the Shenzhen Component Index. Therefore, in the author's opinion, the current Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are The crisis is not very big. Because, the three major A-share indexes all have obvious repairing signals. Therefore, today, the stock market's fall, on the surface, the situation is not very good, but the crisis is not enough, whether it is a deviation, a gap, or a support point below, in fact, it can bring success to A shares. plate. However, the situation of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today is still a bit bad. The data shows that the number of sectors that rose today was only 42, while the number of sectors that fell was as high as 426, which is obviously much more than the number of sectors that rose. Moreover, the number of stocks that fell in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today is not a minority. Therefore, the bullish atmosphere in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is still very weak. Under this circumstance, the author believes that the Shanghai Composite Index will likely still operate in the sideways space in the short term, and will not break away from the shackles of the sideways space.

(Responsible editor:Trend)