Market closing analysis (Wednesday, September 14 80% position)-clevelanddrifters.com

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Market closing analysis (Wednesday, September 14 80% position)

time：2023-03-24 00:59:34 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Trend

Market closing analysis (Wednesday, September 14 80% position)

Option 1: (probability is small) Daily line 2863 (starting on April 27) rises on the 95th day: Daily line 1 wave = 46 days time and space 2863-3424 = 561 points, daily line 2 wave = 49 days (A wave = 21 Day 3424-3155 = 269 points B wave = 10 days time and space = 3155-3296 = 141 points C wave = 18 days time and space = 3296-3172 = 124 points). Option 2: (high probability) Daily line 2863 (starting on April 27) rises on the 95th day: Daily line 1 wave = 46 days time space 2863-3424 = 561 points, daily line 2 wave = 49 days (A wave = 21 Day 3424-3155=269 points B wave a=10 days time space=3155-3296=141 points B wave b=12 days time space=3296-3172=124 B wave c=7 days time space=3172-3278=106 ) forecasts 10-day time space 3314. The 120-minute period starting on April 27, 2022, the range-topping forecast chart. This morning, due to the slump in the outer market, the broader market opened a lot lower, and it has been opening and moving lower. The highest is 3250 and the lowest is 3221, and the closing price is 3237, down 26.26 points, down 0.8%, which is a drop in the middle Yinxian. Our stock market is doing pretty well today, without the slump like other markets, and we are a staunch proponent of all-inclusive price. Today is the 7th day of the rebound from 3172. The current market has broken through the short-term trend, but has not broken through the long-term trend. The market is running in the middle of the two trends. Our judgment on the market here is still a volatile market, not a daily trend. Line-level 3-wave rise. We can see by observing the Shanghai 50 Index that large-cap stocks have fallen for 19 consecutive months from February 21 to this month, and have formed a weekly bottom structure last week. The bottom structure of this weekly line is on the second The second time is only in 2016 and 2019, that is, only once every three years, and the bottom is built when the weekly bottom structure is formed. That is to say, the Shanghai 50 Index represented by large-cap stocks has bottomed out, and buying large-cap stocks now has more benefits than risks. As for small-cap stocks, we mainly observe the ChiNext Index and the CSI 500 Index. There is no clear bottom signal yet, and further confirmation is needed, but the bottom of large-cap stocks is not far from the bottom as a whole. The contraction period has been running for 19 months, and the market fell to the next month, which should be the end of the contraction period. It will usher in a 26-month expansion period, which is a rise cycle of more than two years. Conclusion: Hold 80% of the position, buy 20% of the position when it breaks the long-term trend (3275), and sell 40% of the position when it breaks below the short-term trend (3223). Personal opinions are for reference only, and transactions based on this are at your own risk.

(Responsible editor：Garbage)

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