Just now, the stock market is unusual, but two major risks have landed-clevelanddrifters.com

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Just now, the stock market is unusual, but two major risks have landed

time：2023-01-28 17:33:51 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Aerospace stock

Just now, the stock market is unusual, but two major risks have landed

#HeaderCreationChallenge# Today's stock market is in a state of mixed ups and downs. The overall trend is not strong, and it can only be regarded as a weak market under a weak pattern. However, the current Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have also reached a more critical stage. moment. Of course, it is worth noting that although the three major indexes of Shanghai and Shenzhen are only going up and down during the session, in fact, the situation of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is still very good today, because most of the stocks are rising. in the situation. Moreover, the proportion of rising stocks is still quite large. As of press time, the number of rising stocks in the Shanghai Composite Index has reached more than 1,500, and only more than 500 have fallen. This phenomenon is even more obvious in the ChiNext. Because the number of rising stocks on the ChiNext board has reached more than 900, and the number of stocks that have fallen is less than 200. This is still the situation when the ChiNext Intraday index is weak. What does this mean? This shows that although the trend of the three major A-share indexes is very weak today, the profit-making effect in the market has begun to appear gradually. It is just that the heavyweight stocks are driving the index. Therefore, the current situation is not bad . However, although the stock market is unusual just now, two major risks have landed. What are these two major risks? The first major risk, as you can see, is that the Shanghai Composite Index fell below an important support line yesterday and broke the sideways range. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index did not continue to go out of a very strong counter-offensive market. Instead, it continues to run in the sideways range and below the important support line. Generally speaking, in a few trading days after falling below the support line, if the reverse pump cannot be achieved, the subsequent market will continue along the support line. run down. Moreover, now the multiple moving averages of the Shanghai Composite Index have begun to run downward, which will passively bring more selling pressure to the Shanghai Composite Index. Therefore, the next pressure on the Shanghai Composite Index is still not small, and even some large ones. . Including the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index is basically the same situation. Especially the Shenzhen Component Index is more obvious, because the Shenzhen Component Index has been running below the support line for 3 consecutive trading days, and it is still running away from the support line. The ChiNext also fell below the support line in the previous session. From the current overall situation, it seems that the three major A-share indexes are not willing to return to the support line, especially in these key trading days, they are all running below the support line. The so-called effective fell below. This is a very dangerous risk signal. The second biggest risk is that the three major A-share indices have just gone up and down during the session. However, the big financial sector has gone out of a wave of rising and falling as a whole. The securities sector index has risen close to 1% during the session, and finally surged higher. It fell back, and it even turned green during the session. The banking sector is similar. It also experienced a wave of rising and falling markets during the session. It also turned green for a while. It can be said that the uncertainty of the big financial sector has also increased the risk of the stock market, especially the securities sector has continued to trade sideways. impact on the market. So, just now, the stock market is unusual, and two major risks have landed. Does this mean that the stock market will be in danger? In fact, in the author's opinion, although the current Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have risks, they are not very big, because now the hourly charts of the three major A-share indices are showing signs of divergence. If they continue to fall, the divergence will more serious. There are even continuous sesame points on the quantitative energy indicators, which shows that the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are likely to fall to a staged bottom, and there may still be room for decline, but the room for decline will definitely be very limited. . Of course, for the follow-up market, the most optimistic view is still to return to the sideways range, but, in any case, the next opportunities are only brought about by shocks, not by the upward trend. point is critical. Therefore, in summary, the author believes that at this time, it is not too late to wait for the market to return to the sideways range before entering the market, because the risk of entering the market now is too great, and the Shanghai Composite Index is not very regular. The fifth wave isn't quite over yet, so it's wise to stay still for now.

(Responsible editor：Individual stock recommendation)

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