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September - a good opportunity to top up your positions

time：2023-01-28 15:51:14 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Garbage

September - a good opportunity to top up your positions

——I personally think that September should be a good opportunity to cover positions. Why do you say that? The transaction volume last Friday was only more than 740 billion yuan. Many people are talking about the amount of land and the price of land, but how low is it? Let's first look at the yellow line in the picture, which is the trend of trading volume. The circle at the end is the trading volume last Friday. Obviously, although the volume is not the lowest in the whole year, it can also be ranked on the bottom. Second, the amount of energy shrinkage is very low. At the same time, looking at the blue mark above is the trend of the broad market index. It can be found by comparing the two pairs. The low point position of the blue line is also the position where the amount of the broad market index can appear. From the subsequent trend, the position there is The best replenishment point. The following picture shows the circles in the volume energy data and the market data in 2020 and 2021, respectively, when the transaction volume is the lowest in 2020 and 2021. Afterwards, it can be found that this amount of land occurs every year. After the level of volume energy, the market index is also at a low level, and there will be a small rebound in the subsequent trend, so I think it is a good opportunity to cover positions. Although it is a bit biased to only unilaterally determine the opportunity to top up positions based on quantity and energy, it is found that there is still a scientific basis for it after the fact. The trading volume of more than 700 billion has been at a very low level in recent years, and what I want to say is, will the following market indexes continue to break new lows? No one can say this, but since recently, the trading volume has been shrinking. I also pointed out that the excess energy may continue to shrink. In September, we must be prepared to resist pressure, but we should not be too pessimistic. Opportunities often arise from this state. My opinion is that this position can be filled according to everyone's positions and habits. If there is a sustained new low, maybe you can be more courageous, and you can make more. This method of analysis seems to be relatively simple, and does not consider news and policy aspects, but in fact, the change in quantitative energy is caused by a variety of uncertain factors related to basic, policy and emotional aspects. On the surface, it seems to be a single The logic of the side is actually, from a solid point of view, the winning rate is still relatively large. As for right? It is still my personal opinion, which is for reference only.

(Responsible editor：Trend)

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