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Just now, three malpractices occurred, and the stock market risk hit?

time：2023-01-28 18:31:29 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Garbage

Just now, three malpractices occurred, and the stock market risk hit?

It can be seen that when the stock market opened today, there has been a wave of gaps and low openings. During the intraday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are also in a state of mixed ups and downs. The situation is still intensifying. After all, the current Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have reached a critical moment, because the downward movement will completely fall below the sideways range, and the upward movement will return to the sideways range. Therefore, the next trend of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets appears to be very critical. In particular, if the ChiNext Index continues to fall today, it will be equivalent to falling for 9 consecutive trading days. This situation is very rare even in the historical trend of ChiNext. Therefore, the situation of ChiNext is really somewhat Not quite right. The GEM was also mixed in early trading today. Of course, the Shenzhen Component Index has also fallen for 7 consecutive trading days. Unlike the ChiNext, the ChiNext has not fallen near the 900-day moving average. Therefore, there is a high probability that the ChiNext will have a support force. Strong moving average. However, the situation of the Shenzhen Component Index is different, because the Shenzhen Component Index has already fallen below the 900-day moving average last week. Therefore, for the current Shenzhen Component Index, the index is already at most of the moving averages. below. This means that most of the chips in the Shenzhen Component Index are actually floating losses. Then, the selling pressure of the Shenzhen Component Index will inevitably be very large. However, as the index continues to decline, the market decline can also begin to shrink. , this may be one of the turning points. It's just that, just now, three malpractices occurred, and the stock market risk hit? The first drawback is that in the early trading hours, the net outflow of northbound funds has exceeded 5 billion, of which the net outflow of Shanghai Stock Connect has reached 2.5 billion, and the net outflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect has also reached 2.5 billion. Obviously, the amount of outflow is not Not a few. Then, if this situation continues, the amount of northbound capital outflows throughout the day is not expected to be small. Moreover, in the early trading, the main funds are also accelerating the outflow. The data shows that in the early trading alone, the main funds have flowed out of more than 4 billion. Although it is not as good as the outflow of northbound funds in the early trading, it is not a lot. In fact, the reason for the net outflow of northbound funds is easier to understand, because when the US dollar index opened today, it actually went out of a wave of gapping and opening, and the US dollar index gapped and opened higher by 0.49%. There is a rule of northbound funds. When the US dollar index falls, the inflow of A shares accelerates, and when the US dollar index rises, it continues to flow out of A shares. This trend was relatively obvious before. The second drawback is that for the current ChiNext Index, there is also a big problem, that is, the upper half-year line, the ChiNext Index has effectively fallen below the half-year line, and has been running for 3 consecutive trading days. below the half-year line. Generally speaking, within a few trading days after falling below a trend line, if the market fails to return to the top of the trend line, then the market is effectively falling, not the so-called fake action. This time is very important. Therefore, for the current GEM index, the only supporting moving average below is the 900-day moving average. However, the 900-day moving average is at 2435 points, and there is obviously still room for a decline from the current GEM index. There is no support in this period of decline. Therefore, even if the GEM will stop falling, the first bottom will only be near the 900-day moving average. Therefore, in the short term, the author believes that there is indeed a further decline in the GEM. possibility to explore. The third drawback, we can see that the Shanghai Composite Index has indeed stopped falling recently, but it only closed a cross star in the last trading day, and in the early trading today, the Shanghai Composite Index also only closed out Little Yangxian. Then, if this situation continues, the Shanghai Composite Index is estimated to only close out a small positive line throughout the day, and the two consecutive small yin and small positive lines are only on a horizontal line, which is obviously a pattern of weak rebound. Therefore, in the author's opinion, just now, there are three major drawbacks, and the risk of the stock market has greatly increased. Short-lived.

(Responsible editor：Individual stock recommendation)

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