Know the key points of next week's market (9.5-9.9)

time:2022-09-29 14:40:36 source:clevelanddrifters.com author:Stock market
Know the key points of next week's market (9.5-9.9)

The reason why the index space formed "there is resistance above and support below" September did not start well, but dived in the late session, and there was a decline. As we all know, the beginning of the month has always been a good start, but then it is very complicated, including July and August, which are also good starts, and then fall monthly. Therefore, funds don't care too much about whether they have a good start, especially from the perspective of September. "September Industry Characteristics and Three Potential Hotspots Deduction" shows that the index factor is not big, and the hotspot switching is the key. Let’s first look at what varieties are leading the decline. Ningde's 8-straight decline is naturally eye-catching, and its leading new energy (car) is also continuously adjusted. There is also the weight of liquor that works hard every time it falls, as well as the diving after the proof-of-concept of the pre-hype Chiplet and advanced packaging and testing (the previous solution and this week's special have detailed explanations). Obviously, the old hot spots were distributed before this wave of adjustments. key. The quantity and energy factors are also reflected. This week, the quantity of energy dropped from one trillion yuan to more than 830 billion yuan first, which is the recent land quantity; then after breaking through one trillion yuan on 8.31, the volume shrank again on 9.1, falling below 800 billion yuan. Only 790 billion yuan; on 9.2, it was only more than 740 billion yuan. A clear sign of the withdrawal of funds from old hotspots. The recent staged development of the financial index is also the key to the insufficient rebound of the index, so the overall center of gravity of the index has moved down. The reason why the resistance level also dropped from 3300 to 3260. And 3160 points is the nearest support range. If the index falls below this, there will inevitably be a wave of diving, but if you hold here, the tug-of-war pattern of the entire range is still valid, which also means that long and short have what they need, and this factor will still be valid next week. Why does the index have such a range? Everyone should think about more factors, the rebound in May-June was high; in July, with the change of policy, the central bank tightened liquidity and withdrawn from strong stimulus to realize the adjustment of the yin, and in August, the monthly star line shrank, the reason is that Digest the interim report factor. September is a continuation of the switch between old and new hot spots, and it also faces concerns about fundamentals. In fact, we have also analyzed that the index seems to be jumping up and down, while the Shanghai index has always been around the half-year line and is not far away, causing many investors to misjudge the ups and downs. Is it pessimistic behind? In fact, it is not that the digestion of the mid-term report is for the hotspot switch. Finance has always supported the market, its performance is good, and the stock price is low. Comparing institutions with stocks that are high and have average performance, it will be attractive. After all, the volatile market is such a switch. Therefore, after the mid-year report, the hot spots avoid high and low, and there is a high probability of funds. The probability of index breaking is not high. Instead, as funds are withdrawn from old hot spots, more opportunities for low-level hot spots will be formed. The switch between SSE 50 and CSI 1000 The overall index trend is not strong, and the mid-term report factor is naturally the most critical. But if you zoom in on the horizon, August is just a month’s star line. The 100-point range is narrowly arranged, and there is no need to over-interpret the tug-of-war around the 120-day line. But why do many investors feel it is very violent? It is because the switching of hot styles is very large, which will be clearly reflected in the classification index. Beginning in mid-to-late August, the style switching between the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the CSI 1000, which was repeatedly reminded, was turned on. On the one hand, the two divergences reached their extreme values; such a round-up process in a volatile market, none of which is continuously safe or sluggish. . On the other hand, the performance of the interim report, a large number of blue-chip stocks have good performance and low stock prices. On the contrary, many hyped small and medium-sized stocks have poor performance, but their stock prices are very high. This is a process of falsification. There have been a lot of daily limit-down stocks recently, and there are many varieties that have been hyped recently, such as Shenzhen-South-Electric, Guoguang-Electric, COSCO-Haite, Daqing-Huake, etc. The collective diving is also the withdrawal of funds after the end of the hype. In the 8 consecutive yin after the Ningde interim report, the industry led by new energy continued to outflow, and it also became the industry with the highest net sales of financing customers in the past two weeks. These funds are obviously also preparing for the brewing and switching of new hot spots. Correspondingly, we have seen the blue-chip stocks headed by the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. The changes in financial stocks, insurance, banks and other support stocks, Ningbo-Bank, China-Life Insurance, China Merchants-Bank, etc. are all oversold varieties; securities companies lead the popularity, but only Each time the types of securities are different, the emotional factors that stimulate funds are obvious. In any case, financial support is the most critical force. Next, I will also make an analysis on some features of recent hotspots, the rhythm of switching and game strategies for your reference.

(Responsible editor:Education stock)

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