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> A shares: How will the broader market work tomorrow (August 24), and where are the hot spots hidden? text
A shares: How will the broader market work tomorrow (August 24), and where are the hot spots hidden?
time：2023-03-24 01:23:00 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Trend
A shares: How will the broader market work tomorrow (August 24), and where are the hot spots hidden?
A-shares are out of a narrow range today, and the rise and fall of individual stocks in the two cities have reached a rare balance. From today's trend, we can see that the main market players can use less tricks. Through the analysis and judgment of market hotspots, it is found that At present, the main force of the market is mainly gathered on some special plates. Below, I will make a simple analysis and prediction of the trend of the broader market tomorrow, and share with you the means of the main operation and the analysis of the hot spots. First, the closing situation of the three major A-share indexes and the main capital trends. (mainly to save data and ensure the continuity of analysis data). 1. Today, the broader market closed at 3276.22 points, a decrease of 0.05%, with a turnover of 418.3 billion yuan, 1007 companies fell, 1065 companies rose, the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12455.15 points, a decrease of 0.4%, with a turnover of 584 billion yuan, 1300 companies fell, 1313 Homes rose, the ChiNext Index closed at 2780.31 points, an increase of 0.05%. The total transaction volume of the two cities was 1,002.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.1 billion yuan compared with yesterday's 1,026.4 billion yuan. The total number of risers was 2,378 and the number of falls was 2,307, which was basically the same. This phenomenon is relatively rare. 2. Trends of main capital: Today, the main capital of the two cities has again made a net outflow, and the magnitude has increased. Among them, the net outflow of the main capital of the market is 6.5 billion yuan, yesterday's net inflow was 640 million yuan, and the Shenzhen market was 13.4 billion yuan. The two cities have a total net outflow of 199 million yuan. 100 million yuan, a significant increase of 15.6 billion yuan from yesterday's 4.3 billion yuan. The sector with the largest net outflow is still the FTSE Russell concept with the main capital accumulation of 14.2 billion yuan, the Shenzhen Stock Connect concept of 9.8 billion yuan, the Shanghai Stock Connect concept of 6.4 billion yuan, and the securities holdings of 6 billion yuan. The sectors with more net inflows are energy storage concepts of 3.5 billion yuan, solar energy of 3.1 billion yuan, and natural gas of 1.7 billion yuan. Second, today's A-share market trend review and brief commentary. 1. It is still a range-bound trend. This range is the 3250-3300 point I have always told you. At present, the broader market index has fluctuated in this range for 9 trading days, and it is unable to achieve a breakthrough at 3300 points, which explains two points: first, 3300 points are under great pressure, and second Above the 3250 point is the place where the main funds are scattered. 2, the broader market 60-day moving average once again converted into pressure. Although the market fluctuates in a range, there is also pressure within the range, that is, the 60-day moving average, which has been running below the moving average for 3 trading days. Under the premise that it cannot be far from the moving average, my judgment is to induce a bullish trend. At present, this judgment is established. 3. The fact that the trading volume cannot be effectively enlarged is an important factor that the market cannot break through. Through the observation of these days, we can see that no matter how loud the main force is shouting, what sector is used to support the market, which sector is the hot money suddenly exploded, etc., the most rational indicator - trading volume, there is no obvious response. This shows two points: First, the main funds are self-inflicted, and there is no OTC funds to join in, and the efforts of retail investors to follow the trend are also decreasing. The second is that raising the index is not a noble purpose, it is just to raise the shipment. 4. There is no other way for the main capital, but to keep repeating the old trick: news stimulation, use the "gold guard" securities sector to prevent the market from falling. We all know now that big financial stocks, especially the brokerage sector, are currently a powerful tool for the main capital to control the market. Whenever the market declines, this sector is used to drive the index. Today's trend is still the same, but the problem is: the market index is stable Staying, we have to find a plate that can stabilize the market during operation. Today, the main choice is the concept of oil and gas. Among them, PetroChina is a heavyweight in the large market. Of course, this is due to news stimulation. Third, synthesizing the above four aspects, we can roughly see the trend of the broader market tomorrow, that is, the final range shock. Why do you say that? This is because: First, 3250 is the position where the broader market needs to test again. Today, the broader market has momentum to move towards this point in the early trading, and was blocked by the securities sector during the session, and the lowest point reached 3262.63 points. Due to the importance of this position, I said earlier that it is the dividing line, above which is the main shipping area. By constantly testing its support, we can see the progress of the main capital shipments. Second, according to the past trend, it can be judged that the current range fluctuation of the market is 10 trading days, and tomorrow will be the 10th trading day when the market fluctuates between 3250-3300 points. That is to say, the market will remain range-bound tomorrow. Going to test the support of 3250 points, the tail city pulled up again. We can refer to the trend when the broader market fluctuated between 3350-3400 points and built a staged top during the period from June 28 to July 11. After all, the main force is still the main force. Judging from the main force tactics analyzed above, it is already in the process of constantly replicating the past trend, and you can pay close attention to it. The third is the significance of the 3296 points on August 17. This point is the highest point since the market rebounded on August 4. It has not been touched again for four trading days. If it is still not touched tomorrow or the day after, it will most likely become the end point of this round of rebound. . Judging from the current level of trading volume and the rotation between the various sectors, the main funds are busy, and the market is only maintained. Fourth, pay close attention to the trend of the Shenzhen Composite Index. Yesterday's article said that this index is a relatively real index of A-shares at present, stronger than the other three major indexes, and is currently in the process of divergence from the top and building a double-headed structure. Fourth, the analysis and prospect of the hot sectors of A-shares in the later period. This is a relatively big topic. I just want to say two points for your reference: First, where is the main force? I broadcast to you the main capital trends of some sectors every day. Among them, the most talked about are FTSE Russell, Shenzhen Stock Connect, Shanghai Stock Connect, Securities and Financial Holdings, as well as funds, institutions, and securities companies’ heavy positions, etc. Wait a lot, these are the places where the main funds gather. You can see where the big white horses in the early stage came from? Basically, they are the main heavyweight stocks in these sectors, such as CATL, LONGi Green Energy, etc. However, some stocks have experienced huge gains and are not worth participating in the midline. The short-term trend is too rigid and not suitable for retail investors to participate. The second is, where to find the varieties of the main capital positions now? My advice remains to dig into the FTSE Russell melon. On August 19, FTSE Russell, an international index compilation company, announced the results of the quarterly review of its flagship index FTSE Global Equity Index Series. The adjustment will officially take effect after the market closes on September 16. 98 A-shares have been newly included in this index adjustment. You can screen the 98 newly included A-shares. These are public information, but many people are reluctant to pay attention to them. Opportunities are many. Third, in the process of finding hot spots, it is necessary to analyze and judge based on the location, texture, trend, stock nature, industry and other factors of individual stocks. Remember not to add too many subjective factors. When buying and selling decisions, there must be basis and discipline, and must not be arbitrary, and put reason and risk first. To sum up, the shock of A shares today is to prepare for the direction of the market outlook. The time node for changing the market is coming. Tomorrow's range shock, the most important focus is still the support of the broader market around 3250 points. Everyone should be vigilant. Risk of short-term adjustment. It is necessary to find hot spots in stock trading, but this is a technical job, and it is also a job that requires certain technical and experience reserves. The way to find recent hot spots in today’s article is just one of many stock selection methods. Many methods still need to be practiced. accumulated through exploration. (This article is exclusively published by the author on Toutiao, and plagiarism must be investigated! Personal opinions are for reference only, not as an investment basis. The stock market is risky, and investment should be cautious!)
A-shares are out of a narrow range today, and the rise and fall of individual stocks in the two cities have reached a rare balance. From today's trend, we can see that the main market players can use less tricks. Through the analysis and judgment of market hotspots, it is found that At present, the main force of the market is mainly gathered on some special plates. Below, I will make a simple analysis and prediction of the trend of the broader market tomorrow, and share with you the means of the main operation and the analysis of the hot spots. First, the closing situation of the three major A-share indexes and the main capital trends. (mainly to save data and ensure the continuity of analysis data). 1. Today, the broader market closed at 3276.22 points, a decrease of 0.05%, with a turnover of 418.3 billion yuan, 1007 companies fell, 1065 companies rose, the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12455.15 points, a decrease of 0.4%, with a turnover of 584 billion yuan, 1300 companies fell, 1313 Homes rose, the ChiNext Index closed at 2780.31 points, an increase of 0.05%. The total transaction volume of the two cities was 1,002.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.1 billion yuan compared with yesterday's 1,026.4 billion yuan. The total number of risers was 2,378 and the number of falls was 2,307, which was basically the same. This phenomenon is relatively rare. 2. Trends of main capital: Today, the main capital of the two cities has again made a net outflow, and the magnitude has increased. Among them, the net outflow of the main capital of the market is 6.5 billion yuan, yesterday's net inflow was 640 million yuan, and the Shenzhen market was 13.4 billion yuan. The two cities have a total net outflow of 199 million yuan. 100 million yuan, a significant increase of 15.6 billion yuan from yesterday's 4.3 billion yuan. The sector with the largest net outflow is still the FTSE Russell concept with the main capital accumulation of 14.2 billion yuan, the Shenzhen Stock Connect concept of 9.8 billion yuan, the Shanghai Stock Connect concept of 6.4 billion yuan, and the securities holdings of 6 billion yuan. The sectors with more net inflows are energy storage concepts of 3.5 billion yuan, solar energy of 3.1 billion yuan, and natural gas of 1.7 billion yuan. Second, today's A-share market trend review and brief commentary. 1. It is still a range-bound trend. This range is the 3250-3300 point I have always told you. At present, the broader market index has fluctuated in this range for 9 trading days, and it is unable to achieve a breakthrough at 3300 points, which explains two points: first, 3300 points are under great pressure, and second Above the 3250 point is the place where the main funds are scattered. 2, the broader market 60-day moving average once again converted into pressure. Although the market fluctuates in a range, there is also pressure within the range, that is, the 60-day moving average, which has been running below the moving average for 3 trading days. Under the premise that it cannot be far from the moving average, my judgment is to induce a bullish trend. At present, this judgment is established. 3. The fact that the trading volume cannot be effectively enlarged is an important factor that the market cannot break through. Through the observation of these days, we can see that no matter how loud the main force is shouting, what sector is used to support the market, which sector is the hot money suddenly exploded, etc., the most rational indicator - trading volume, there is no obvious response. This shows two points: First, the main funds are self-inflicted, and there is no OTC funds to join in, and the efforts of retail investors to follow the trend are also decreasing. The second is that raising the index is not a noble purpose, it is just to raise the shipment. 4. There is no other way for the main capital, but to keep repeating the old trick: news stimulation, use the "gold guard" securities sector to prevent the market from falling. We all know now that big financial stocks, especially the brokerage sector, are currently a powerful tool for the main capital to control the market. Whenever the market declines, this sector is used to drive the index. Today's trend is still the same, but the problem is: the market index is stable Staying, we have to find a plate that can stabilize the market during operation. Today, the main choice is the concept of oil and gas. Among them, PetroChina is a heavyweight in the large market. Of course, this is due to news stimulation. Third, synthesizing the above four aspects, we can roughly see the trend of the broader market tomorrow, that is, the final range shock. Why do you say that? This is because: First, 3250 is the position where the broader market needs to test again. Today, the broader market has momentum to move towards this point in the early trading, and was blocked by the securities sector during the session, and the lowest point reached 3262.63 points. Due to the importance of this position, I said earlier that it is the dividing line, above which is the main shipping area. By constantly testing its support, we can see the progress of the main capital shipments. Second, according to the past trend, it can be judged that the current range fluctuation of the market is 10 trading days, and tomorrow will be the 10th trading day when the market fluctuates between 3250-3300 points. That is to say, the market will remain range-bound tomorrow. Going to test the support of 3250 points, the tail city pulled up again. We can refer to the trend when the broader market fluctuated between 3350-3400 points and built a staged top during the period from June 28 to July 11. After all, the main force is still the main force. Judging from the main force tactics analyzed above, it is already in the process of constantly replicating the past trend, and you can pay close attention to it. The third is the significance of the 3296 points on August 17. This point is the highest point since the market rebounded on August 4. It has not been touched again for four trading days. If it is still not touched tomorrow or the day after, it will most likely become the end point of this round of rebound. . Judging from the current level of trading volume and the rotation between the various sectors, the main funds are busy, and the market is only maintained. Fourth, pay close attention to the trend of the Shenzhen Composite Index. Yesterday's article said that this index is a relatively real index of A-shares at present, stronger than the other three major indexes, and is currently in the process of divergence from the top and building a double-headed structure. Fourth, the analysis and prospect of the hot sectors of A-shares in the later period. This is a relatively big topic. I just want to say two points for your reference: First, where is the main force? I broadcast to you the main capital trends of some sectors every day. Among them, the most talked about are FTSE Russell, Shenzhen Stock Connect, Shanghai Stock Connect, Securities and Financial Holdings, as well as funds, institutions, and securities companies’ heavy positions, etc. Wait a lot, these are the places where the main funds gather. You can see where the big white horses in the early stage came from? Basically, they are the main heavyweight stocks in these sectors, such as CATL, LONGi Green Energy, etc. However, some stocks have experienced huge gains and are not worth participating in the midline. The short-term trend is too rigid and not suitable for retail investors to participate. The second is, where to find the varieties of the main capital positions now? My advice remains to dig into the FTSE Russell melon. On August 19, FTSE Russell, an international index compilation company, announced the results of the quarterly review of its flagship index FTSE Global Equity Index Series. The adjustment will officially take effect after the market closes on September 16. 98 A-shares have been newly included in this index adjustment. You can screen the 98 newly included A-shares. These are public information, but many people are reluctant to pay attention to them. Opportunities are many. Third, in the process of finding hot spots, it is necessary to analyze and judge based on the location, texture, trend, stock nature, industry and other factors of individual stocks. Remember not to add too many subjective factors. When buying and selling decisions, there must be basis and discipline, and must not be arbitrary, and put reason and risk first. To sum up, the shock of A shares today is to prepare for the direction of the market outlook. The time node for changing the market is coming. Tomorrow's range shock, the most important focus is still the support of the broader market around 3250 points. Everyone should be vigilant. Risk of short-term adjustment. It is necessary to find hot spots in stock trading, but this is a technical job, and it is also a job that requires certain technical and experience reserves. The way to find recent hot spots in today’s article is just one of many stock selection methods. Many methods still need to be practiced. accumulated through exploration. (This article is exclusively published by the author on Toutiao, and plagiarism must be investigated! Personal opinions are for reference only, not as an investment basis. The stock market is risky, and investment should be cautious!)
(Responsible editor：Individual stock analysis)
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