Someone wants to give a big gift to A shares, "Magic November" will take all the bills and work hard to dig a gold hole-clevelanddrifters.com

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Someone wants to give a big gift to A shares, "Magic November" will take all the bills and work hard to dig a gold hole

time：2023-03-24 01:41:10 source：clevelanddrifters.com author：Individual stock recommendation

Someone wants to give a big gift to A shares, "Magic November" will take all the bills and work hard to dig a gold hole

The sluggishness of September and October is gone, and the "magic November" is here again. How are you? 01Send away the boring September and October. In November, investors who want to cheer up and play ultra-short, people who play boards or become leaders, find that the market in September and October is quite boring, and a lot of hot money has gone on vacation. In the past two months, Lynch only operated 3 strokes, and he still did it on the way. In the past two months, Lynch said in September and early October that the market was so tasteless that it was too short to play, so he could only play a combination of long and short tickets based on the Dragon Line or the Lifeline. The focus is on the operational value of the SSE 50ETF, but on November 2, that is, today, the SSE 50ETF has broken its lifeline, and the micro-profit has come to an end. In the past two months, there are two reasons why Lynch has been wandering everywhere. One is that the market is tasteless, and the other is that he encounters some trouble and does not publish articles for the time being. But in November, I have to come back, because the magic came back in November, one is that there is basically meat to eat, and the other is that the hot money often has the opportunity to come up with big meat tickets. The magic of November is the specific law of the stock market, and Qiyou should be familiar with it. From 0220 to "Magic November", who knows who will make money in European and American stocks. There is a saying: "Sell in May and go away, but remember to come back in November." In the past, A-shares only intercepted the first half, and also changed the first half , that is, "five poor, six absolutes and seven turn over". On the K line in July, Lynch emphasized that you can look back at Qiyou. July 2021 is pretty ugly, which is why 8, 9, 10 months, maybe even longer, wouldn't be great. The correct translation of the European and American stock proverbs at the beginning is: "Close the warehouse in May and leave the market, remember to come back and start it in November". So in November of the A-share market, will it be the same as the European and American stock markets, and some of them will play? There are not a few people who have seen high A-shares in recent years. Some have seen 3800, some have seen 4100, and some have seen more than 6000 in the next few years. So what are the opportunities? What about November over the past 20+ years? You can use the monthly line to take a look at the market situation in November each year. In the past 21 years, except for the sharp decline in November of 2007, the November of other years has surged. November 2020 was the second-best month after July. From the monthly trend, the probability of recovery in November is very high. Some people are squatting, waiting for a small step back in November, and after buying it, wait for it to rise, and make some proper income. From the perspective of extending the statistical cycle, the opportunity is even better. From 2000 to 2020, the average growth rate of the market in May-October and November-April of the following year was -0.85% and 11.3% respectively, which means that even if it is not a bargain buy, from November to April of the following year Monthly adherents, the average profit of the overall profit reached 11%-15%. For the past 21 years from November to February of the next year, the probability of increase is higher than 50%, the probability of increase in these four months is 62%, 57%, 57%, 81%, and the median increase over the years is 1.7%, 1.3%, 2.7%, 3.2%. For the technical school, discovering such a pattern is to discover the opportunity to make money, and it is the opportunity to squat. 03 In November, how to fight the turnaround? To say that July is a battle of overturning, it is better to say that it is a battle of overturning in November. Because the magical November is more real than July. There are two points to watch in July. Generally, July is not the worst month of May, June, and July, but once July is the worst month, and July is still the worst K line after a wave of market conditions, then take At least half a year, as many as a few years, the market is relatively weak and even tasteless. The worst result in July 2021 resulted in a weak market in September, October and even for some time to come. But no matter how weak the market is, there will often be a wave of opportunities every year, that is, the spring turbulent preparation market starting in November, which is an opportunity that can be seen every year. Some people say that this is looking at the road through the rearview mirror of the stock market, which is past tense and inaccurate. People who say this really don't understand the function of rearview mirrors. The rear view mirror shows that we are walking on the highway, then our car is often running on the highway; the rear view mirror shows that we are walking on a muddy road, then our car is often walking on a muddy road... Even if the turning point appears, the road behind will An exception occurred, didn't it? Moreover, we can only vaguely assume and deduce the economic data that affects the stock market. Investors seem to be driving in foggy or stormy days, and it is impossible to clearly see the road ahead, and can only make a rough estimate. Since it is estimated, experience is indispensable, and the application of "rearview mirror knowledge" is indispensable. But whether it is the rear-view mirror or the vague prediction, it does not hinder us from moving forward. If it is smooth, we will go faster. If it doesn't feel smooth, let's go slower. For veterans and experts, as long as the market does not plummet, it is an opportunity. Especially in the volatile market, heavy hot spots appeared. Of course, it is perfect that under the volatile and rising market, heavy hot spots continue to appear. If you are optimistic about November, then you can do a good job in the ticket, especially the low-level white horse is likely to be an important target of this wave of market prices, use the dragon line to watch the band. If you want to combine short and medium lengths and expand your income, you can choose individual stocks above the winding dragon line, and use various types such as "time-sharing on a ruler", "golden section line", "medium Changyang and long legs", "early support pressure" and so on. Ultra-short technical repeat T. It is imperative to take back Taiwan now. Whoever made Taiwan arrogant just provided an opportunity. Our most lovely People's Liberation Army has already revolved around Taiwan's military exercises. Such a local war is conducive to the concept of military industry and food related to people's livelihood. But the solution to Taiwan is too simple and has little impact. Other industries, including the broader market, will soon rise up, providing a proper golden pit for the broader market and creating a bargain-hunting opportunity in November. Last but not least, the magic of November is that it is bargain hunting. What to do now is to squat, smash down, if there is important support, or if it stops falling, pick it up. end

(Responsible editor：Aviation stock)

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